Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryloss 0:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Tinyoften banned
layme · 22 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 20 games
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 19 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 17 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 17 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Worick · 13 games
Gambit Esports
Bane
Panto · 2 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 279 bans
Mars
451 picks · 622 bans
Tiny
420 picks · 482 bans
Sand King
389 picks · 507 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 537 bans
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 510 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total76% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:25
No Sorry 24%Gambit Esports 76%
The model gave 76% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 23:44.
Game 2prediction correct15:20
No Sorry 24%Gambit Esports 76%
The model gave 76% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 40:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 76%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2