Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorrywin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KBU.USloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 41 game
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 35 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 31 game
Hoodwink
y0nd · 28 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 28 games
Tiny
Worick · 28 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 24 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
499 picks · 445 bans
Mars
487 picks · 689 bans
Bane
459 picks · 284 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 521 bans
Sand King
410 picks · 561 bans
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 645 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 608 bans
Grimstroke
359 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:15
No Sorry 77%KBU.US 23%
The model gave 77% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 25:20.
Game 2prediction correct27:12
No Sorry 77%KBU.US 23%
The model gave 77% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 23:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 77%
Series resultNo Sorry 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2