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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryloss 1:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Zorka Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Sorry

Bane
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 47 games
62%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 39 games
49%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Worick · 35 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 32 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 30 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 26 games
42%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 25 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 21 game
52%

Zorka Gaming

Tiny
Tinysignature
OneJey · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Arti_Shock · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
100%
Sven
Sven
dizzying · 4 games
100%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Arti_Shock · 3 games
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Miyaoo · 2 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
640 picks · 498 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
470 picks · 685 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
412 picks · 578 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
407 picks · 856 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
330 picks · 407 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
297 picks · 479 bans
52%
Zeus
Zeus
278 picks · 376 bans
44%
Enchantress
Enchantress
266 picks · 319 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% Zorka Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
No Sorry 53%Zorka Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 23:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperCloud
55% · 86 games59% · 77 games
Ursadizzying
Ursa
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidKami
51% · 105 games50% · 129 games
LinaMiyaoo
Lina
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritWorick
48% · 127 games50% · 42 games
Venomancerklassnokruto
Venomancer
Enchantress
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
46% · 144 games40% · 195 games
ClockwerkOneJey
Clockwerk
Marci
Marciy0nd
50% · 111 games53% · 130 games
UndyingArti_Shock
Undying
Game 2prediction missed41:39
No Sorry 54%Zorka Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Zorka Gaming in 54:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKami
49% · 76 games47% · 175 games
Terrorbladedizzying
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomCloud
50% · 98 games48% · 152 games
BatriderMiyaoo
Batrider
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainWorick
50% · 158 games47% · 113 games
Undyingklassnokruto
Undying
Tiny
Tinyy0nd
54% · 273 games52% · 94 games
EarthshakerOneJey
Earthshaker
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenBLACKARXANGEL
50% · 38 games52% · 109 games
DisruptorArti_Shock
Disruptor
Game 3prediction missed27:46
No Sorry 54%Zorka Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Zorka Gaming in 49:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanCloud
58% · 54 games46% · 99 games
Bristlebackdizzying
Bristleback
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKami
45% · 38 games49% · 155 games
BatriderMiyaoo
Batrider
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritWorick
51% · 168 games52% · 253 games
Pangolierklassnokruto
Pangolier
Enchantress
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
44% · 141 game47% · 66 games
Crystal MaidenOneJey
Crystal Maiden
Tiny
Tinyy0nd
52% · 304 games54% · 132 games
UndyingArti_Shock
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 57%
Series resultZorka Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3