The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNNoobitASwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V1dar Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoobitAS
No games played over 6 months.
V1dar Gaming
Dark Willow
Groom · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 1 game
Gyrocopter
dizzying · 1 game
Luna
dizzying · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 224 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 719 bans
Centaur Warrunner
438 picks · 626 bans
Gyrocopter
427 picks · 402 bans
Batrider
410 picks · 761 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 161 bans
Dragon Knight
359 picks · 1044 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 747 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% NoobitAS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% NoobitAS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:36
NoobitAS 64%V1dar Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on NoobitAS — the game was taken by NoobitAS in 45:59.
Game 2prediction correct20:29
NoobitAS 64%V1dar Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on NoobitAS — the game was taken by NoobitAS in 29:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoobitAS · 64%
Series resultNoobitAS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2