BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 5 games
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Pakazs · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Panda · 4 games
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
345 picks · 712 bans
Void Spirit
326 picks · 417 bans
Mars
274 picks · 482 bans
Earth Spirit
253 picks · 216 bans
Death Prophet
233 picks · 347 bans
Rubick
229 picks · 128 bans
Keeper of the Light
216 picks · 447 bans
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 652 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 48%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:11
NoPing VPN 64%EgoBoys 36%
The model gave 64% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 27:04.
Game 2prediction correct46:19
NoPing VPN 64%EgoBoys 36%
The model gave 64% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 25:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 64%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2