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BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoPing VPN

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 31 game
81%
Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 26 games
77%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 24 games
71%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 24 games
58%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 22 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Matthew · 18 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 18 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 17 games
65%

Infamous

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 6 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 6 games
33%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
17%
Tusk
Tusk
Pamplona · 6 games
33%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
20%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 5 games
40%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
40%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Yor · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
349 picks · 175 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
294 picks · 108 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
263 picks · 408 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
256 picks · 507 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
255 picks · 348 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
236 picks · 333 bans
51%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
225 picks · 235 bans
58%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
218 picks · 471 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength62% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total67% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:22
NoPing VPN 63%Infamous 37%
The model gave 63% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladePakazs
56% · 141 game47% · 71 game
Troll WarlordLumière
Troll Warlord
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
49% · 130 games50% · 220 games
MarsSacred
Mars
Sand King
Sand KingOscar
58% · 104 games39% · 136 games
HoodwinkMichael
Hoodwink
Mirana
Miranasl4d1n-
55% · 138 games45% · 118 games
GyrocopterAccel
Gyrocopter
Bane
BanePanda
54% · 32 games
Game 2prediction correct35:28
NoPing VPN 60%Infamous 40%
The model gave 60% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 33:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectrePakazs
44% · 53 games47% · 78 games
Templar AssassinLumière
Templar Assassin
Kunkka
KunkkaDarkMago
38% · 48 games54% · 95 games
LeshracSacred
Leshrac
Beastmaster
BeastmasterOscar
62% · 45 games49% · 84 games
TinyMichael
Tiny
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiPanda
50% · 16 games40% · 21 game
OmniknightAccel
Omniknight
Mirana
Miranasl4d1n-
58% · 116 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 67%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2