Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNloss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SG e-sportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
No games played over 6 months.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
73 picks · 156 bans
Puck
72 picks · 177 bans
Earth Spirit
62 picks · 54 bans
Void Spirit
55 picks · 108 bans
Rubick
49 picks · 28 bans
Undying
48 picks · 70 bans
Monkey King
47 picks · 109 bans
Phoenix
46 picks · 65 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:46
NoPing VPN 50%SG e-sports 50%
The model gave 50% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 48:46.
Game 2prediction correct
NoPing VPN 50%SG e-sports 50%
The model gave 50% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN.
Game 3prediction missed21:47
NoPing VPN 50%SG e-sports 50%
The model gave 50% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 48:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 50%
Series resultSG e-sports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3