Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Marssignature
Oscar · 17 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 14 games
Lunaoften banned
RdO · 13 games
Lionsignature
Michael · 12 games
Iooften banned
KJ · 11 games
Abaddon
Panda · 10 games
Banesignature
Accel · 10 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 10 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
417 picks · 298 bans
Mars
390 picks · 570 bans
Weaver
317 picks · 736 bans
Snapfire
315 picks · 175 bans
Queen of Pain
314 picks · 373 bans
Kunkka
247 picks · 432 bans
Spirit Breaker
237 picks · 336 bans
Ember Spirit
235 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 22%
Hero pool strength57% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:20
NoPing VPN 55%SG e-sports 45%
The model gave 55% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 51:38.
Game 2prediction correct35:18
NoPing VPN 55%SG e-sports 45%
The model gave 55% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 38:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 55%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2