Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs predictionNNoUndyingwin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hellbear Smashersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoUndying
Earth Spirit
velheor · 3 games
Jakiro
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Kodos · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Oracle
BLACKARXANGEL · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
velheor · 1 game
Hellbear Smashers
Puckoften banned
Stormstormer · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ace · 3 games
Oracle
tOfu · 3 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Ace · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Stormstormer · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Gilgir · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Ace · 2 games
Winter Wyvern
tOfu · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
61 picks · 141 bans
Earth Spirit
53 picks · 41 bans
Puck
53 picks · 151 bans
Void Spirit
47 picks · 87 bans
Phoenix
42 picks · 52 bans
Undying
41 picks · 64 bans
Monkey King
39 picks · 87 bans
Rubick
39 picks · 21 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% NoUndying
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% NoUndying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoUndying · 63%
Series resultNoUndying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect