BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Copy · 21 game
Rubick
Lelis · 20 games
Tinysignature
Copy · 20 games
Windrangeroften banned
Lelis · 19 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 18 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
358 picks · 345 bans
Hoodwink
354 picks · 405 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 507 bans
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
293 picks · 263 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 387 bans
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 459 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total71% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:26
nouns 71%beastcoast 29%
The model gave 71% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 41:32.
Game 2prediction correct31:24
nouns 71%beastcoast 29%
The model gave 71% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 42:28.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 71%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2