Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
NS Clubloss 0:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
By_Owl Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Club
No games played over 6 months.
By_Owl Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
549 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 356 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 508 bans
Puck
321 picks · 847 bans
Beastmaster
313 picks · 797 bans
Jakiro
311 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% NS Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% By_Owl Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
NS Club 24%By_Owl Club 76%
The model gave 76% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by By_Owl Club.
Game 2prediction correct
NS Club 24%By_Owl Club 76%
The model gave 76% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by By_Owl Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Club · 76%
Series resultBy_Owl Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2