BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
NS Teamwin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Recrent Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Team
Bane
NS · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Kudes · 1 game
Dark Willow
Stint · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Kudes · 1 game
Juggernaut
ALOHADANCE · 1 game
Largooften banned
Stint · 1 game
Lone Druidoften banned
ALOHADANCE · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 1 game
Recrent Team
Snapfire
Shishak · 4 games
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Primal Beast
Petushara · 2 games
Undying
Petushara · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
538 picks · 326 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 585 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 359 bans
Rubick
417 picks · 225 bans
Jakiro
357 picks · 260 bans
Pangolier
341 picks · 469 bans
Puck
334 picks · 862 bans
Beastmaster
329 picks · 836 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Recrent Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:30
NS Team 43%Recrent Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 49:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaALOHADANCE
TerrorbladeSmiling Knight
AbaddonSunlight
Axekolya_kaBAN68
PudgeKudes
Keeper of the LightRecrent
LichNS
Dark WillowShishak
UndyingStint
VenomancerUbica
Game 2prediction missed
NS Team 40%Recrent Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by NS Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRecrent Team · 60%
Series resultNS Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2