ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionOOblivionloss 0:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HHabibiswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Oblivion
No games played over 6 months.
Habibis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
453 picks · 370 bans
Clockwerk
421 picks · 542 bans
Batrider
374 picks · 474 bans
Lion
369 picks · 193 bans
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 579 bans
Phoenix
356 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 585 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 848 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Oblivion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Habibis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Oblivion 46%Habibis 54%
The model gave 54% on Habibis — the game was taken by Habibis.
Model check result
Model favoriteHabibis · 54%
Series resultHabibis 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1