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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 32 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 27 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 26 games
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 23 games
65%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 21 game
43%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
45%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 46 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 26 games
65%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
57%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 22 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 21 game
81%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
636 picks · 990 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
527 picks · 442 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
462 picks · 634 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 1037 bans
56%
Warlock
Warlock
443 picks · 269 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 483 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 515 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
420 picks · 575 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:12
OG 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 36:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNatsumi
49% · 429 games42% · 46 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Timbersaw
TimbersawYopaj
53% · 272 games50% · 268 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Largo
LargoForce
57% · 130 games57% · 157 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Mirana
MiranaSkem
47% · 85 games51% · 162 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Lion
LionTims
44% · 65 games45% · 348 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed34:26
OG 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 1:03:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckYopaj
53% · 354 games51% · 125 games
WindrangerKiritych
Windranger
Weaver
WeaverNatsumi
51% · 87 games45% · 131 game
UnderlordMieRo
Underlord
Bristleback
BristlebackForce
56% · 249 games49% · 241 game
BeastmastergpK~
Beastmaster
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSkem
59% · 71 game44% · 132 games
PhoenixSave-
Phoenix
Lion
LionTims
45% · 75 games47% · 207 games
DisruptorKataomi
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2