BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 14 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 29 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
555 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
448 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 513 bans
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 796 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:25
OG 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezNatsumi
TerrorbladeKiritych
KunkkaYopaj
AxeMieRo
Night StalkerTORONTOTOKYO
PuckgpK~
TechiesSkem
Winter WyvernKataomi
HoodwinkTims
LionSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1