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CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 0:2
End Gamewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 16 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Nine · 15 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 12 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Daze · 12 games
25%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ceb · 11 games
27%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nine · 11 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 9 games
33%

End Game

Faceless Void
Faceless Void
Nande · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
W1sh- · 2 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 2 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
SsaSpartan · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
0%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
SsaSpartan · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardar
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
W1sh- · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
568 picks · 795 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
449 picks · 317 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
434 picks · 674 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
428 picks · 794 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
404 picks · 879 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
395 picks · 375 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
385 picks · 1065 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 528 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% End Game
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total81% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:23
OG 66%End Game 34%
The model gave 66% on OG — the game was taken by End Game in 45:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin423
51% · 195 games52% · 133 games
LifestealerNande
Lifestealer
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightStormstormer
45% · 345 games51% · 440 games
TinyW1sh-
Tiny
Magnus
MagnusDavai
52% · 191 game56% · 192 games
Dark SeerMinD_ContRoL
Dark Seer
Windranger
WindrangerDaze
50% · 178 games45% · 50 games
RingmasterJeezy
Ringmaster
Elder Titan
Elder TitanKidaro
48% · 154 games47% · 248 games
JakiroSsaSpartan
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed15:35
OG 67%End Game 33%
The model gave 67% on OG — the game was taken by End Game in 42:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStormstormer
49% · 170 games55% · 93 games
Nature's ProphetNande
Nature's Prophet
Monkey King
Monkey King423
52% · 166 games47% · 23 games
Outworld DestroyerW1sh-
Outworld Destroyer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
50% · 123 games51% · 155 games
Dark SeerMinD_ContRoL
Dark Seer
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKidaro
42% · 133 games44% · 43 games
RingmasterJeezy
Ringmaster
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightDaze
56% · 49 games52% · 327 games
ClockwerkSsaSpartan
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 81%
Series resultEnd Game 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2