DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 12 games
Iosignature
Ceb · 12 games
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 9 games
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuragi · 8 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
359 picks · 312 bans
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 302 bans
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
265 picks · 368 bans
Magnus
248 picks · 457 bans
Mars
247 picks · 314 bans
Techies
247 picks · 165 bans
Hoodwink
244 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:14
OG 40%G2 Invictus Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 35:39.
Game 2prediction missed23:20
OG 40%G2 Invictus Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 32:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 60%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2