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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGloss 1:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Rubick
Rubick
Taiga · 28 games
54%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Ceb · 20 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 17 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Chuvash · 17 games
47%
Venomancer
Venomancersignature
DM · 17 games
71%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 16 games
56%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yuragi · 16 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
bzm · 16 games
44%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 42 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 36 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 33 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 184 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
291 picks · 412 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
244 picks · 422 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
232 picks · 361 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
232 picks · 379 bans
50%
Morphling
Morphling
225 picks · 417 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
225 picks · 181 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
224 picks · 438 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 5
Model total67% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:14
OG 41%Gaimin Gladiators 59%
The model gave 59% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by OG in 31:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkYuragi
55% · 63 games46% · 52 games
Svendyrachyo
Sven
Kunkka
Kunkkabzm
53% · 22 games54% · 47 games
Queen of PainQuinn
Queen of Pain
Razor
RazorMinD_ContRoL
44% · 32 games43% · 31 game
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Alchemist
AlchemistCeb
48% · 30 games59% · 14 games
WarlockSeleri
Warlock
43% · 3 games
Shadow ShamantOfu
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct13:42
OG 40%Gaimin Gladiators 60%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaYuragi
53% · 78 games52% · 136 games
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
Faceless Void
Primal Beast
Primal Beastbzm
49% · 181 game51% · 88 games
EarthshakerQuinn
Earthshaker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMinD_ContRoL
52% · 152 games50% · 137 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightCeb
50% · 114 games49% · 132 games
PhoenixtOfu
Phoenix
40% · 32 games
GrimstrokeSeleri
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2