BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Snapfire
Daze · 29 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 24 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 22 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 19 games
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 19 games
Axeoften banned
Force · 18 games
Marssignature
Force · 18 games
Team Liquid
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Tusk
Boxi · 28 games
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 19 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 16 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Boxi · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
592 picks · 928 bans
Tusk
538 picks · 417 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 639 bans
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 653 bans
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 935 bans
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 649 bans
Mars
383 picks · 530 bans
Warlock
377 picks · 231 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total52% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:18
OG 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by OG in 40:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinNatsumi
HuskarNisha
LeshracYopaj
WindrangermiCKe
BrewmasterForce
KunkkaAce
Skywrath MageTims
BatridertOfu
ClockwerkSkem
TuskBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 52%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1