?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:1
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Spiritwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 30 games
43%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Ari · 25 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 24 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Wisper · 16 games
75%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nine · 16 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ari · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 15 games
73%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 39 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Larl · 29 games
62%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
81%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Miposhka · 24 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Malik · 22 games
77%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Miposhka · 22 games
55%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Larl · 20 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 688 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 486 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 539 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
349 picks · 180 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
331 picks · 470 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
318 picks · 325 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total75% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:20
OG 37%Team Spirit 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 29:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorblade23savage
49% · 115 games48% · 290 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNine
46% · 100 games56% · 127 games
MagnusMalik
Magnus
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
48% · 144 games51% · 180 games
InvokerLarl
Invoker
Enchantress
EnchantressxNova
49% · 185 games53% · 139 games
Muertarue
Muerta
Phoenix
PhoenixAri
45% · 225 games59% · 33 games
LichMiposhka
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 75%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1