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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 26 games
58%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 17 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 13 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 11 games
45%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
7e · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 356 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 589 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
569 picks · 299 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
475 picks · 292 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 549 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 274 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
455 picks · 743 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 1118 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:9
OG 68%Tearlaments 32%
The model gave 68% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 27:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNatsumi
48% · 319 games53% · 272 games
Morphlingpoyoyo
Morphling
Beastmaster
BeastmasterForce
49% · 355 games49% · 522 games
Pangolier7e
Pangolier
Mars
MarsYopaj
45% · 253 games55% · 339 games
Centaur WarrunnerSrf
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
52% · 203 games57% · 168 games
Bounty HunterTK
Bounty Hunter
Tusk
TuskSkem
47% · 395 games45% · 224 games
Silencerzzq
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 82%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1