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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
OGwin 3:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 12 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Ceb · 10 games
60%
Io
Iooften banned
Ceb · 9 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 8 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
bzm · 8 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Taiga · 7 games
43%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 7 games
71%

Tundra Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 12 games
75%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Topson · 12 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Techies
Techiessignature
9Class · 9 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Whitemon · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 428 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
249 picks · 382 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
247 picks · 344 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
47%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 283 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
203 picks · 513 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
198 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
181 picks · 324 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total54% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:25
OG 47%Tundra Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by OG in 37:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidYuragi
60% · 143 games49% · 10 games
MeepoPure~
Meepo
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painbzm
54% · 149 games50% · 99 games
InvokerTopson
Invoker
Magnus
MagnusWisper
50% · 189 games44% · 95 games
MarsMinD_ContRoL
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
46% · 67 games52% · 267 games
BatriderWhitemon
Batrider
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCeb
45% · 99 games49% · 176 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Game 2prediction missed32:6
OG 47%Tundra Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by OG in 24:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkYuragi
64% · 171 game44% · 105 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
53% · 357 games52% · 539 games
RubickTopson
Rubick
Mars
MarsWisper
51% · 138 games47% · 105 games
Dark SeerMinD_ContRoL
Dark Seer
Io
IoCeb
51% · 92 games36% · 36 games
Muerta9Class
Muerta
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
50% · 161 game43% · 134 games
PhoenixWhitemon
Phoenix
Game 3prediction missed40:17
OG 47%Tundra Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by OG in 27:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaYuragi
48% · 57 games56% · 104 games
Faceless VoidPure~
Faceless Void
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinbzm
43% · 132 games53% · 111 games
TimbersawMinD_ContRoL
Timbersaw
Mars
MarsWisper
47% · 64 games55% · 72 games
Void SpiritTopson
Void Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
49% · 33 games52% · 77 games
Muerta9Class
Muerta
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCeb
47% · 96 games48% · 18 games
BaneWhitemon
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 54%
Series resultOG 3:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3