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OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
iG Vitalitywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Omega Esports

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
78%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 8 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 7 games
29%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 7 games
29%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
cml · 6 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 6 games
33%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Sam_H · 5 games
60%

iG Vitality

Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
33%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
33%
Windranger
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
100%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
350 picks · 178 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
286 picks · 103 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
268 picks · 410 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
262 picks · 521 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
260 picks · 359 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
237 picks · 334 bans
51%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
229 picks · 239 bans
58%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
219 picks · 471 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 14%
Hero pool strength54% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:32
Omega Esports 64%iG Vitality 36%
The model gave 64% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 33:16.
Game 2prediction correct28:17
Omega Esports 64%iG Vitality 36%
The model gave 64% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Omega Esports in 30:57.
Game 3prediction missed35:40
Omega Esports 64%iG Vitality 36%
The model gave 64% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 47:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 64%
Series resultiG Vitality 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3