OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Omega Esportsloss 1:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
MYM Yloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Esports
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
Grimstroke
cml · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 6 games
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 6 games
M Y
Templar Assassinoften banned
Beebie · 4 games
Bane
LionaX · 3 games
Disruptor
LionaX · 3 games
Elder Titan
MyPro · 3 games
Lycanoften banned
KNP · 3 games
Shadow Demon
LionaX · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
KNP · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
LionaX · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 122 bans
Lina
267 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
258 picks · 526 bans
Luna
252 picks · 345 bans
Mars
246 picks · 414 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 307 bans
Dragon Knight
233 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 23%
Hero pool strength56% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% M Y
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteM Y · 53%