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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Omega Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
Lissex · 10 games
70%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 8 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Demon · 8 games
63%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 7 games
43%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Mingatte · 6 games
83%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Demon · 5 games
100%
Mirana
Mirana
Demon · 5 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 5 games
40%

Gorillaz-Pride

Snapfire
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
43%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Bane
Bane
Genek · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
d1smar · 5 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
NaoG · 5 games
40%
Lina
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
80%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
443 picks · 266 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
402 picks · 555 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
349 picks · 404 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
331 picks · 669 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 434 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
291 picks · 379 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
280 picks · 337 bans
51%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassin
257 picks · 549 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:24
Omega Gaming 51%Gorillaz-Pride 49%
The model gave 51% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 32:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckJeimari
47% · 122 games52% · 47 games
JuggernautNaoG
Juggernaut
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightMingatte
48% · 40 games47% · 91 game
Storm SpiritMr.Jeans
Storm Spirit
Venomancer
VenomancerLissex
63% · 13 games56% · 53 games
Keeper of the LightYadomi
Keeper of the Light
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritDemon
48% · 69 games50% · 53 games
TuskGenek
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct23:42
Omega Gaming 49%Gorillaz-Pride 51%
The model gave 51% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 37:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerMingatte
51% · 106 games44% · 108 games
Faceless VoidNaoG
Faceless Void
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritJeimari
47% · 205 games54% · 217 games
PuckMr.Jeans
Puck
Mars
MarsLissex
47% · 418 games54% · 190 games
MiranaGenek
Mirana
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritDemon
45% · 77 games57% · 291 game
BaneYadomi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 51%
Series resultGorillaz-Pride 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2