Claro Gaming Apu League Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
Leshracsignature
Jeimari · 6 games
Tusk
Zxca · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Demon · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Jeimari · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Mingatte · 4 games
Snapfire
Zxca · 4 games
Infinity Esports
Elder Titan
Nuages · 7 games
Mirana
Jupiter · 7 games
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 6 games
Abaddonoften banned
Nuages · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
mini-` · 4 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Benny · 4 games
Lunaoften banned
Benny · 4 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jupiter · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
487 picks · 194 bans
Snapfire
383 picks · 211 bans
Mars
369 picks · 591 bans
Puck
355 picks · 875 bans
Tiny
325 picks · 249 bans
Grimstroke
322 picks · 307 bans
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 457 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 31%
Hero pool strength56% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 57%
Series resultOmega Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed