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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 33 games
70%
Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 31 game
81%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 28 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 27 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 26 games
62%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 20 games
85%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 19 games
74%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 17 games
41%

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 437 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
478 picks · 694 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
444 picks · 294 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 535 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 609 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 605 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
359 picks · 522 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 picks · 313 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:20
One Move 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:49.
Game 2prediction correct14:28
One Move 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2