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RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 13 games
38%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
10%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 10 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 9 games
33%

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 26 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 26 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 25 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
36%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
388 picks · 738 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
344 picks · 298 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
340 picks · 227 bans
49%
Weaver
Weaver
337 picks · 669 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 470 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 379 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
306 picks · 532 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total58% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:14
One Move 48%Nemiga Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by One Move in 26:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterWoE
50% · 198 games49% · 141 game
SvenLowskill
Sven
Void Spirit
Void SpiritSquad1x
48% · 68 games46% · 97 games
BeastmasterMikSa`
Beastmaster
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderSSS
55% · 45 games45% · 72 games
Slardarnicky`cool
Slardar
Clockwerk
ClockwerkRein
53% · 173 games50% · 135 games
Phoenixforcemajor
Phoenix
55% · 39 games
Jakirojesv
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed46:27
One Move 45%Nemiga Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by One Move in 38:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerWoE
46% · 64 games67% · 101 game
Troll WarlordLowskill
Troll Warlord
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSquad1x
50% · 55 games57% · 33 games
Sand Kingnicky`cool
Sand King
Mars
MarsSSS
50% · 70 games49% · 115 games
EnigmaMikSa`
Enigma
Rubick
RubickRein
41% · 145 games53% · 27 games
Nyx Assassinjesv
Nyx Assassin
39% · 58 games
Jakiroforcemajor
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 58%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2