PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionOOnlyRichsPlayersHerewin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gods of Hellloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OnlyRichsPlayersHere
No games played over 6 months.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
419 picks · 683 bans
Mars
397 picks · 644 bans
Lion
393 picks · 360 bans
Techies
392 picks · 323 bans
Batrider
378 picks · 834 bans
Tiny
376 picks · 461 bans
Vengeful Spirit
358 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% OnlyRichsPlayersHere
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% OnlyRichsPlayersHere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:43
OnlyRichsPlayersHere 70%Gods of Hell 30%
The model gave 70% on OnlyRichsPlayersHere — the game was taken by OnlyRichsPlayersHere in 37:07.
Game 2prediction correct15:28
OnlyRichsPlayersHere 70%Gods of Hell 30%
The model gave 70% on OnlyRichsPlayersHere — the game was taken by OnlyRichsPlayersHere in 27:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteOnlyRichsPlayersHere · 70%
Series resultOnlyRichsPlayersHere 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2