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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Osmiumloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Happy Sealsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Osmium

No games played over 6 months.

Happy Seals

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
448 picks · 274 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
432 picks · 579 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
391 picks · 459 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
347 picks · 742 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
330 picks · 460 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 475 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 427 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
288 picks · 431 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Osmium
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Happy Seals
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHappy Seals · 54%