Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Our Wayloss 1:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Omega Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Omega Gaming
Earth Spirit
Demon · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
Hoodwink
Demon · 2 games
Nature's Prophet
Mingatte · 2 games
Snapfire
Demon · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Demon · 2 games
Treant Protector
ShakaLord · 2 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
325 picks · 471 bans
Bane
283 picks · 215 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 152 bans
Weaver
263 picks · 574 bans
Tidehunter
261 picks · 396 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 707 bans
Ember Spirit
217 picks · 300 bans
Lion
213 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Our Way
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Our Way
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:9
Our Way 69%Omega Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Our Way — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 37:52.
Game 2prediction missed9:30
Our Way 69%Omega Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Our Way — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 18:52.
Game 3prediction missed33:47
Our Way 69%Omega Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Our Way — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 47:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteOur Way · 69%
Series resultOmega Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3