BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionO9OVER 9000loss 0:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Inner Circlewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OVER 9000
No games played over 6 months.
Inner Circle
Marsoften banned
Norma · 17 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 15 games
Tusk
Fernans · 14 games
Disruptor
Fernans · 12 games
Snapfire
Fernans · 11 games
Sven
yowaai · 11 games
Warlock
flacko · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
609 picks · 620 bans
Snapfire
519 picks · 205 bans
Dragon Knight
515 picks · 690 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 325 bans
Hoodwink
463 picks · 231 bans
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 532 bans
Mars
407 picks · 554 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% OVER 9000
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:43
OVER 9000 24%Inner Circle 76%
The model gave 76% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 45:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 76%
Series resultInner Circle 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1