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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Paper Tigersloss 1:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vikingswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Paper Tigers

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Freeze · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
BurNIng · 1 game
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Cty · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
7e · 1 game
100%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Op · 1 game
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
7e · 1 game
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Freeze · 1 game
100%
Tusk
Tusk
Op · 1 game
100%

Vikings

Snapfire
Snapfire
Atoufix · 2 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 1 game
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
AdmiralBulldog · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
pieliedie · 1 game
100%
Leshrac
Leshrac
MaTson · 1 game
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
pieliedie · 1 game
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
MaTson · 1 game
100%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancer
Nikobaby · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 361 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
613 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
588 picks · 506 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
576 picks · 716 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 553 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
542 picks · 328 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
511 picks · 759 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 577 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Vikings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Paper Tigers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:18
Paper Tigers 58%Vikings 42%
The model gave 58% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 42:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautCty
57% · 121 game45% · 136 games
LifestealerNikobaby
Lifestealer
Earthshaker
Earthshaker7e
53% · 279 games47% · 360 games
PuckMaTson
Puck
Mars
MarsFreeze
52% · 384 games53% · 307 games
Centaur WarrunnerAdmiralBulldog
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
JakiroBurNIng
48% · 481 game52% · 384 games
SnapfireAtoufix
Snapfire
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageOp
48% · 126 games45% · 204 games
Pugnapieliedie
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed11:29
Paper Tigers 58%Vikings 42%
The model gave 58% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Vikings in 30:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautCty
44% · 84 games54% · 342 games
AbaddonNikobaby
Abaddon
Pangolier
Pangolier7e
47% · 435 games53% · 348 games
PuckMaTson
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFreeze
51% · 328 games50% · 211 games
DoomAdmiralBulldog
Doom
Enchantress
EnchantressBurNIng
48% · 176 games53% · 275 games
Nature's Prophetpieliedie
Nature's Prophet
Batrider
BatriderOp
49% · 390 games51% · 237 games
RingmasterAtoufix
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction missed31:29
Paper Tigers 60%Vikings 40%
The model gave 60% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Vikings in 34:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageCty
50% · 40 games38% · 40 games
LunaNikobaby
Luna
Timbersaw
TimbersawFreeze
54% · 239 games45% · 291 game
PangolierMaTson
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit7e
55% · 340 games45% · 124 games
DoomAdmiralBulldog
Doom
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageOp
47% · 69 games50% · 229 games
Batriderpieliedie
Batrider
Bane
BaneBurNIng
59% · 239 games50% · 243 games
DisruptorAtoufix
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoritePaper Tigers · 67%
Series resultVikings 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3