Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Парагвайloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Чилиwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Парагвай
No games played over 6 months.
Чили
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
630 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 634 bans
Phoenix
420 picks · 480 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 494 bans
Puck
318 picks · 972 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Парагвай
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Парагвай
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Парагвай 57%Чили 43%
The model gave 57% on Парагвай — the game was taken by Чили.
Game 2prediction missed
Парагвай 57%Чили 43%
The model gave 57% on Парагвай — the game was taken by Чили.
Model check result
Model favoriteПарагвай · 57%
Series resultЧили 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2