Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARI PARNIloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empire Hopewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire Hope
Viperoften banned
Mastery · 5 games
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 4 games
Iooften banned
antoha · 4 games
Pudge
krylat · 4 games
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastery · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
krylat · 3 games
Dazzle
antoha · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
730 picks · 550 bans
Puck
518 picks · 1032 bans
Dawnbreaker
450 picks · 576 bans
Marci
428 picks · 766 bans
Snapfire
368 picks · 195 bans
Winter Wyvern
357 picks · 387 bans
Zeus
319 picks · 363 bans
Razor
315 picks · 620 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% PARI PARNI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:39
PARI PARNI 51%Team Empire Hope 49%
The model gave 51% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 31:58.
Game 2prediction missed25:7
PARI PARNI 51%Team Empire Hope 49%
The model gave 51% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 19:11.
Model check result
Model favoritePARI PARNI · 51%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2