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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 31 game
77%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 28 games
68%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 27 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 27 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 24 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 23 games
83%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 43 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 32 games
69%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 22 games
59%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
563 picks · 792 bans
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
430 picks · 819 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
424 picks · 280 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
397 picks · 608 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
396 picks · 839 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 876 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
367 picks · 306 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 488 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:27
PARIVISION 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSatanic
59% · 50 games48% · 118 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Wraith King
Wraith KingDM
48% · 20 games48% · 84 games
SlardargpK~
Slardar
Tiny
TinyNo[o]ne
53% · 232 games42% · 81 game
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Slark
Slark9Class
59% · 18 games48% · 57 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionDukalis
58% · 75 games38% · 55 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed23:24
PARIVISION 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:13:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperNo[o]ne
50% · 141 game49% · 207 games
Monkey KingPure~
Monkey King
Tiny
TinySatanic
51% · 374 games46% · 363 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Tinker
Tinker9Class
43% · 81 game57% · 89 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Enigma
EnigmaDM
59% · 126 games53% · 176 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
45% · 206 games48% · 93 games
RingmasterKataomi
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction missed27:4
PARIVISION 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 28:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSatanic
52% · 173 games45% · 99 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
45% · 176 games50% · 265 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand KingNo[o]ne
55% · 227 games59% · 88 games
EnigmaMieRo
Enigma
Slark
Slark9Class
46% · 56 games48% · 69 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionDukalis
50% · 91 game50% · 202 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3