The International 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 26 games
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
Slarksignature
9Class · 22 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Kunkkasignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 26 games
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
431 picks · 368 bans
Dark Willow
347 picks · 183 bans
Puck
337 picks · 787 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 330 bans
Batrider
322 picks · 830 bans
Nature's Prophet
276 picks · 546 bans
Dawnbreaker
275 picks · 625 bans
Pangolier
274 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head9 – 2
Model total61% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:24
PARIVISION 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSatanic
Monkey KingPure~
InvokerNo[o]ne
PuckgpK~
BrewmasterDM
BristlebackMieRo
SilencerDukalis
HoodwinkSave-
Rubick9Class
BaneKataomi
Game 2prediction correct24:25
PARIVISION 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinSatanic
Nature's ProphetPure~
BeastmasterDM
LycanMieRo
Sand KingNo[o]ne
EarthshakergpK~
SnapfireDukalis
HoodwinkSave-
Alchemist9Class
DisruptorKataomi
Game 3prediction missed17:24
PARIVISION 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:06:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinSatanic
Faceless VoidPure~
MedusaDM
EarthshakergpK~
InvokerNo[o]ne
BristlebackMieRo
Slark9Class
ZeusKataomi
DisruptorDukalis
HoodwinkSave-
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3