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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 33 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 26 games
69%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
65%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 19 games
58%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 37 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
64%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
61%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Save- · 24 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
71%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
52%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 21 game
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
510 picks · 306 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 576 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 354 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
404 picks · 305 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
369 picks · 201 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
351 picks · 312 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
340 picks · 847 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
337 picks · 843 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% PARIVISION
Head-to-head7 – 4
Model total58% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:13
PARIVISION 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosSatanic
62% · 17 games52% · 167 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerNoticed
48% · 98 games65% · 56 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
45% · 237 games52% · 161 game
AxeMieRo
Axe
Techies
TechiesDukalis
42% · 50 games50% · 107 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Enchantress
Enchantress9Class
48% · 120 games46% · 31 game
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed28:51
PARIVISION 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSatanic
46% · 286 games61% · 67 games
HuskargpK~
Huskar
Sniper
SniperNo[o]ne
54% · 59 games51% · 157 games
Monkey KingKiritych
Monkey King
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerNoticed
46% · 105 games49% · 267 games
PangolierMieRo
Pangolier
Enchantress
Enchantress9Class
51% · 100 games46% · 109 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeDukalis
46% · 67 games55% · 17 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct19:7
PARIVISION 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
55% · 253 games38% · 387 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
53% · 340 games50% · 94 games
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Largo
LargoNoticed
61% · 89 games47% · 241 game
TidehunterMieRo
Tidehunter
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
56% · 101 game47% · 317 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Hoodwink
HoodwinkDukalis
52% · 395 games44% · 139 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 58%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3