BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 20 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 34 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 29 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
553 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 511 bans
Puck
321 picks · 850 bans
Beastmaster
315 picks · 798 bans
Jakiro
311 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head7 – 4
Model total76% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:49
PARIVISION 65%BETBOOM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezSatanic
Shadow FiendKiritych
PangolierNo[o]ne
TidehunterMieRo
DawnbreakerNoticed
Ember SpiritgpK~
Rubick9Class
HoodwinkSave-
Witch DoctorDukalis
Treant ProtectorKataomi
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 76%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1