The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 31 game
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 29 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 28 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 26 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 24 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
Tinysignature
Satanic · 21 game
BETBOOM TEAM
Windrangersignature
Save- · 32 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 31 game
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 30 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 26 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 24 games
Largosignature
MieRo · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
488 picks · 338 bans
Bane
356 picks · 441 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 550 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 478 bans
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 629 bans
Tiny
295 picks · 323 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 205 bans
Snapfire
276 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% PARIVISION
Head-to-head8 – 4
Model total79% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:31
PARIVISION 66%BETBOOM TEAM 34%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:17:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidSatanic
LinagpK~
Dark SeerNoticed
KezKiritych
TechiesDukalis
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
SnapfireNo[o]ne
Dark WillowSave-
Bounty Hunter9Class
Winter WyvernKataomi
Game 2prediction missed19:27
PARIVISION 66%BETBOOM TEAM 34%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSatanic
TinyKiritych
PuckNo[o]ne
Ember SpiritgpK~
SlardarNoticed
LargoMieRo
Pudge9Class
MiranaSave-
Winter WyvernDukalis
UndyingKataomi
Game 3prediction correct32:8
PARIVISION 65%BETBOOM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSatanic
UnderlordMieRo
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
Lone DruidKiritych
SlardarNoticed
LinagpK~
Bounty Hunter9Class
MiranaSave-
Winter WyvernDukalis
BaneKataomi
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 79%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3