?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Chimera Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 22 games
45%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 22 games
82%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 20 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%

Chimera Esports

Muerta
Muertasignature
OneJey · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 16 games
69%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 14 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 13 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 13 games
69%
Pugna
Pugna
Panto · 13 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 13 games
62%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Daxak · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
518 picks · 807 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
515 picks · 627 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
491 picks · 498 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
466 picks · 566 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
433 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
431 picks · 1015 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 780 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
393 picks · 211 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:27
PARIVISION 50%Chimera Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 40:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSatanic
50% · 341 game59% · 142 games
LifestealerTA2000
Lifestealer
Razor
RazorNo[o]ne
43% · 186 games56% · 142 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Venomancer
Venomancer9Class
51% · 59 games56% · 108 games
EnigmaDaxak
Enigma
Tidehunter
TidehunterDM
49% · 70 games43% · 161 game
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Marci
MarciDukalis
50% · 92 games46% · 195 games
Crystal MaidenPanto
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed35:7
PARIVISION 50%Chimera Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
47% · 131 game55% · 292 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
46% · 284 games48% · 129 games
Void SpiritTA2000
Void Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
49% · 147 games55% · 234 games
BristlebackDaxak
Bristleback
Batrider
Batrider9Class
49% · 274 games47% · 233 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
56% · 52 gameslittle data
RingmasterPanto
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 50%
Accuracy by game0 of 2