BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 23 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
Axesignature
Noticed · 19 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Dukalis · 19 games
Level UP
Hoodwink
queezy · 24 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 22 games
Techiessignature
Htrd · 20 games
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 18 games
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 18 games
Windrangersignature
queezy · 18 games
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
499 picks · 299 bans
Dark Willow
398 picks · 167 bans
Mirana
377 picks · 170 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 490 bans
Winter Wyvern
312 picks · 282 bans
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 307 bans
Earth Spirit
289 picks · 489 bans
Undying
277 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 67%
Hero pool strength60% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:20
PARIVISION 84%Level UP 16%
The model gave 84% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeSatanic
AlchemistWoE
PuckNo[o]ne
Storm SpiritAinkrad
BrewmasterNoticed
LargoBb3px
Dark Willow9Class
Rubickqueezy
BaneDukalis
TechiesHtrd
Game 2prediction correct
PARIVISION 97%Level UP 3%
The model gave 97% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION.
Game 3prediction correct20:3
PARIVISION 87%Level UP 13%
The model gave 87% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 20:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageSatanic
Ember SpiritAinkrad
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
SvenWoE
PangolierNo[o]ne
BrewmasterBb3px
Rubick9Class
Hoodwinkqueezy
Winter WyvernDukalis
TechiesHtrd
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 97%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3