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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
79%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 28 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 27 games
93%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 23 games
87%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 23 games
74%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 21 game
71%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Dukalis · 20 games
80%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 32 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KJ · 22 games
55%
Bane
Baneoften banned
KJ · 21 game
57%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 19 games
53%
Windranger
Windranger
Thiolicor · 17 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Thiolicor · 16 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wisper · 15 games
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Thiolicor · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
513 picks · 303 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
414 picks · 175 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
384 picks · 173 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 502 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 290 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 311 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
295 picks · 497 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
276 picks · 355 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 49%
Hero pool strength66% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total90% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:10
PARIVISION 76%LGD Gaming 24%
The model gave 76% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidSatanic
53% · 110 games49% · 100 games
LunaWits
Luna
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
47% · 268 games49% · 78 games
Earth SpiritSumaiL
Earth Spirit
Brewmaster
BrewmasterNoticed
44% · 125 games54% · 243 games
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
Centaur Warrunner
Techies
TechiesDukalis
45% · 177 games56% · 218 games
WindrangerThiolicor
Windranger
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage9Class
45% · 91 game56% · 132 games
Winter WyvernSneyking
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct36:17
PARIVISION 77%LGD Gaming 23%
The model gave 77% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 51:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
51% · 256 games52% · 137 games
Nature's ProphetWits
Nature's Prophet
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
55% · 347 games54% · 346 games
PuckSumaiL
Puck
Brewmaster
BrewmasterNoticed
42% · 91 game47% · 222 games
TimbersawDavai
Timbersaw
Rubick
Rubick9Class
50% · 200 games43% · 82 games
Spirit BreakerThiolicor
Spirit Breaker
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorDukalis
46% · 68 games55% · 175 games
Winter WyvernSneyking
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 90%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2