?
arrow_backBack to match
Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MOUZloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
79%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 26 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
81%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
68%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
yamich · 31 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallis · 25 games
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 23 games
39%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 20 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 20 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 19 games
53%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Razor
Razor
Crystallis · 18 games
39%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
623 picks · 439 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 314 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 387 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
378 picks · 419 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 500 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
342 picks · 633 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 35%
Hero pool strength63% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total93% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:13
PARIVISION 80%MOUZ 20%
The model gave 80% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 43:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSatanic
43% · 64 games53% · 273 games
PuckMidOne
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
52% · 340 games52% · 75 games
Dark SeerBOOM
Dark Seer
Largo
LargoNoticed
51% · 158 games42% · 142 games
Dragon KnightCrystallis
Dragon Knight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
51% · 153 games48% · 137 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Techies
TechiesDukalis
49% · 85 games55% · 173 games
Treant Protectoryamich
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct20:7
PARIVISION 78%MOUZ 22%
The model gave 78% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 22:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSatanic
40% · 84 games54% · 65 games
Dark SeerBOOM
Dark Seer
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
45% · 169 games60% · 90 games
AlchemistCrystallis
Alchemist
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
45% · 238 games60% · 95 games
InvokerMidOne
Invoker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
48% · 107 games52% · 194 games
Clockwerkyamich
Clockwerk
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiDukalis
48% · 30 games52% · 184 games
BanePanto
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 93%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2