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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 39 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
55%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
DM · 21 game
76%

Shopify Rebellion

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 20 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 18 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Timado · 17 games
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Timado · 17 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hellscream · 16 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Timado · 15 games
47%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 15 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
483 picks · 520 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 480 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
366 picks · 204 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
354 picks · 360 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
350 picks · 746 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 520 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
328 picks · 209 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
321 picks · 510 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 42%
Hero pool strength60% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:6
PARIVISION 62%Shopify Rebellion 38%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomSatanic
52% · 220 games45% · 158 games
Shadow FiendTimado
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckNo[o]ne
54% · 254 games48% · 75 games
AxeDavai
Axe
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerDM
45% · 201 game50% · 244 games
Ember SpiritYopaj
Ember Spirit
Chen
ChenDukalis
56% · 124 games45% · 253 games
Dark WillowHellscream
Dark Willow
Ringmaster
Ringmaster9Class
54% · 103 games52% · 172 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed17:40
PARIVISION 62%Shopify Rebellion 38%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 43:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerSatanic
49% · 80 games51% · 291 game
Storm SpiritYopaj
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
45% · 275 games54% · 267 games
GyrocopterTimado
Gyrocopter
Kunkka
KunkkaDM
45% · 129 games48% · 63 games
AxeDavai
Axe
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
46% · 145 games54% · 67 games
LeshracHellscream
Leshrac
Ringmaster
Ringmaster9Class
41% · 129 games70% · 70 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 70%
Accuracy by game1 of 2