?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 6 games
83%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 6 games
83%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
No[o]ne · 6 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 5 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 5 games
80%
Marci
Marcioften banned
9Class · 5 games
80%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 5 games
80%

Team Liquid

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 23 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 23 games
43%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 21 game
76%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 20 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 20 games
55%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 20 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 19 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Boxi · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
376 picks · 500 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
372 picks · 345 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 464 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 599 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
300 picks · 356 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 141 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
252 picks · 407 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
251 picks · 254 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:11
PARIVISION 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackCrystallis
50% · 110 games47% · 156 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
52% · 138 games58% · 178 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierDM
47% · 373 games49% · 157 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Marci
Marci9Class
48% · 122 games51% · 83 games
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Chen
ChenDukalis
50% · 91 game48% · 260 games
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct20:30
PARIVISION 50%Team Liquid 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaCrystallis
45% · 127 games52% · 125 games
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Visage
VisageDM
38% · 71 game51% · 217 games
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
Primal Beast
Timbersaw
TimbersawNo[o]ne
59% · 222 games56% · 96 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
50% · 290 games49% · 203 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Marci
Marci9Class
48% · 131 game49% · 200 games
TuskiNSaNiA
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2