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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 23 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 14 games
43%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 13 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 13 games
85%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
77%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Dukalis · 13 games
85%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 38 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 29 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 23 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Boxi · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 22 games
45%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Boxi · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 960 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 432 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 627 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
436 picks · 988 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 468 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 513 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
417 picks · 260 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 548 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head5 – 5
Model total52% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:19
PARIVISION 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 43:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
54% · 195 games46% · 333 games
Dragon KnightmiCKe
Dragon Knight
Timbersaw
TimbersawSSS
52% · 158 games51% · 52 games
LargoAce
Largo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
44% · 160 games52% · 220 games
SlardarNisha
Slardar
Monkey King
Monkey King9Class
48% · 179 games57% · 196 games
MarciBoxi
Marci
Ringmaster
RingmasterDukalis
48% · 268 games47% · 159 games
PhoenixtOfu
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct24:31
PARIVISION 49%Team Liquid 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 49:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerSatanic
43% · 220 games56% · 269 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Underlord
UnderlordSSS
47% · 182 games50% · 273 games
BatridermiCKe
Batrider
Slardar
SlardarNo[o]ne
47% · 296 games53% · 287 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Undying
UndyingDukalis
45% · 150 games62% · 206 games
HoodwinktOfu
Hoodwink
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
39% · 260 games59% · 73 games
PudgeBoxi
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2