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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Resilienceloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
77%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 31 game
84%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 30 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 28 games
64%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 28 games
68%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 23 games
83%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 20 games
65%

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 11 games
55%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
78%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 9 games
89%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
pLAnet · 7 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 7 games
71%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 7 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
pLAnet · 6 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
503 picks · 348 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
353 picks · 634 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
350 picks · 401 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 456 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
324 picks · 176 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 341 bans
49%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
302 picks · 576 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 329 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 69%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:22
PARIVISION 83%Team Resilience 17%
The model gave 83% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinySatanic
47% · 251 game42% · 32 games
Spectrepoyoyo
Spectre
Lina
LinaNo[o]ne
48% · 50 games54% · 143 games
Earth SpiritEcho
Earth Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
49% · 176 games49% · 222 games
Axeniu
Axe
Mirana
MiranaDukalis
51% · 76 games50% · 168 games
RubickpLAnet
Rubick
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
47% · 116 games58% · 104 games
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction missed41:31
PARIVISION 83%Team Resilience 17%
The model gave 83% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 48:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
50% · 316 games44% · 107 games
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
Drow Ranger
Lycan
LycanNoticed
57% · 107 games51% · 340 games
Snapfireniu
Snapfire
Slardar
SlardarNo[o]ne
50% · 256 games49% · 90 games
Earth SpiritEcho
Earth Spirit
Rubick
Rubick9Class
45% · 277 games51% · 302 games
Phoenixzzq
Phoenix
Undying
UndyingDukalis
52% · 161 game50% · 278 games
ClockwerkpLAnet
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct41:18
PARIVISION 82%Team Resilience 18%
The model gave 82% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSatanic
45% · 84 games55% · 125 games
Sand KingEcho
Sand King
Doom
DoomNoticed
56% · 126 games48% · 192 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Snapfire
SnapfireNo[o]ne
48% · 172 games55% · 33 games
Vengeful Spiritpoyoyo
Vengeful Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
44% · 112 games51% · 109 games
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Undying
UndyingDukalis
48% · 71 game51% · 106 games
Winter Wyvernzzq
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 96%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3