Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 26 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 43 games
Largosignature
Collapse · 21 game
Tusk
rue · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
Panto · 20 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
621 picks · 441 bans
Rubick
539 picks · 309 bans
Tiny
416 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
397 picks · 568 bans
Phoenix
371 picks · 398 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 635 bans
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 498 bans
Windranger
340 picks · 236 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total58% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:36
PARIVISION 57%Team Spirit 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 32:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LargoNo[o]ne
MorphlingYatoro
KezSatanic
InvokerLarl
Night StalkerNoticed
TidehunterCollapse
Io9Class
Dark Willownot me
GrimstrokeDukalis
Banerue
Game 2prediction correct45:19
PARIVISION 56%Team Spirit 44%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 43:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezSatanic
Naga SirenYatoro
PangolierNo[o]ne
PuckLarl
SlardarNoticed
AxeCollapse
Winter WyvernDukalis
Phoenixrue
Dark Willow9Class
Rubicknot me
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2