The International 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 2:3series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:3
Team Spiritwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 32 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 31 game
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 29 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 25 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 25 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
Tinysignature
Satanic · 22 games
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 43 games
Pangoliersignature
Collapse · 25 games
Clockwerksignature
rue · 21 game
Rubicksignature
not me · 21 game
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
Slardaroften banned
Collapse · 17 games
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
Doomsignature
Collapse · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
483 picks · 337 bans
Bane
351 picks · 450 bans
Clockwerk
340 picks · 535 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 489 bans
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
289 picks · 320 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 207 bans
Snapfire
272 picks · 434 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 5
Model total74% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:42
PARIVISION 65%Team Spirit 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 46:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
IoNo[o]ne
Shadow FiendYatoro
Ember SpiritSatanic
UndyingCollapse
AxeNoticed
SlarkLarl
Hoodwink9Class
Disruptorrue
MiranaDukalis
Dark Willownot me
Game 2prediction correct46:48
PARIVISION 66%Team Spirit 34%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:04:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerSatanic
Shadow FiendYatoro
UnderlordNoticed
SlardarLarl
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
UndyingCollapse
EnchantressDukalis
Axerue
Rubick9Class
Hoodwinknot me
Game 3prediction missed24:26
PARIVISION 66%Team Spirit 34%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 45:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendSatanic
TerrorbladeYatoro
PangolierNo[o]ne
Nature's ProphetLarl
SlardarNoticed
AxeCollapse
EnchantressDukalis
Tuskrue
Marci9Class
Dark Willownot me
Game 4prediction correct31:13
PARIVISION 63%Team Spirit 37%
The model gave 63% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 44:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerSatanic
Templar AssassinYatoro
DoomNoticed
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Sand KingNo[o]ne
Storm SpiritLarl
Keeper of the Light9Class
Winter Wyvernrue
MiranaDukalis
Clockwerknot me
Game 5prediction missed31:34
PARIVISION 65%Team Spirit 35%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:04:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautSatanic
LifestealerYatoro
InvokerNo[o]ne
Dark SeerCollapse
AxeNoticed
PangolierLarl
Rubick9Class
Mirananot me
HoodwinkDukalis
Banerue
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 74%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5